2008 record      

 


  • Half of Americans in our July poll believed the chances of a second economic recession were high even then. A majority of Republicans thought another recession was likely. Nearly one in three Americans (30%) thought that the chances of a depression were high. The shares of investors who gave high chances for a recession and depression were 38% and 28%, respectively.

  • Support for the health care reforms passed in March has fallen as details of the new taxes and red tape in the massive 2,600-page law come to light, data from the monthly IBD/TIPP poll show. Even support among Democrats has declined. But the biggest drop by far has taken place among independents. In April, 43% said they supported ObamaCare. Today that's down to just 27%.

  • As economists have marked down growth prospects in the past six weeks, political analysts have been busy moving more Senate and House races into the GOP and tossup columns.

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  • Americans hoped that race relations in the U.S. would improve with Barack Obama in the White House. But a majority of those surveyed in the latest IBD/TIPP poll see no difference, and more of those who do see a change think it's been for the worse. This includes whites, blacks and Hispanics. The demographic groups with the largest percentages of respondents saying things have gotten worse are

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  • Obama visited Wednesday with Ohioans who have been helped by government spending. In general, government jobs pay more, have higher benefits, and are more secure than private-sector jobs. Is that a good thing? It depends on your party affiliation, a new TIPP/Monitor poll shows.
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  • Everyone agrees the American job picture is a disaster. The latest unemployment figures stretch from the official 9.5% to the Labor Department's U-6 figure of 16.5% to a sickening 22%, according to TechnoMetrica Market Intelligence. Politicians and pundits debate the reasons. You're familiar with the arguments:
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  • Americans in favor of leaving the Bush tax cuts in place — rather than letting them expire as scheduled at year-end — outnumber those opposed nearly 2 to 1. Democrats are the only demographic group tracked in the IBD/TIPP Poll to oppose extending the cuts, and then by just 38% to 36%. A large percentage are not sure.

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  • With voters worried about the economy and deficits, and increasingly skeptical of President Obama, polls show Americans favoring Republicans over Democrats on most generic ballot questions. Even worse, seniors are the most disgruntled — and they vote.

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  • Consumer confidence fell in early August to the lowest level since October 2008, a month after the collapse of Lehman Bros. sent the economy tumbling into a severe recession and financial crisis, according to the IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism Index out Tuesday.

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  • Election '10: Earlier in the year, congressional Democrats were gushing about their historic legislative achievements. But if they've done such great things for the country, why aren't they campaigning on them?

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