2008 record      

 

White

Share of electorate:  2004=77%, 2008=74%

Vote 2004:  Bush=58%, Kerry=41%
Vote 2008:  Obama=43%, McCain=55%

 

Obama   Romney Other     
Exit Poll 39% 59% 2%
TIPP Final 40% 59% 1%

 

Obama Romney Not Sure Refused
Oct 27 38% 54% 6% 3%
Oct 26 39% 53% 5% 2%
Oct 25 38% 53% 6% 2%
Oct 24 39% 53% 6% 3%
Oct 23 38% 53% 6% 3%
Oct 22 38% 53% 7% 2%
Oct 21 39% 51% 8% 2%
Oct 20 38% 53% 7% 2%
Oct 19 37% 54% 6% 2%
Oct 18 38% 54% 6% 2%
Oct 17 39% 53% 6% 2%
Oct 16 39% 53% 5% 2%
Oct 15 38% 56% 5% 2%
Oct 14 36% 56% 6% 2%
Oct 13 36% 55% 6% 2%
Oct 12 36% 55% 6% 2%
Oct 11 35% 56% 6% 2%
Oct 10 34% 58% 7% 2%
Oct 9 35% 56% 8% 1%
Sep-12 37% 52% 8% 2%
Aug-12 39% 48% 12% 2%
Jul-12 35% 50% 9% 1%
Jun-12 39% 48% 8% 1%
May-12 37% 53% 6% 2%
Apr-12 41% 43% 10% 1%
Mar-12 40% 46% 6% 1%
Feb-12 37% 49% 6% 3%

Female

Share of electorate:  2004=54%, 2008=53%

Vote 2004:  Bush=48%, Kerry=51%
Vote 2008:  Obama=46%, McCain=43%

Obama   Romney Other     
Exit Poll 55% 44% 1%
TIPP Final 55% 44% 1%

 

Obama Romney Not Sure Refused
Oct 27 52% 38% 7% 3%
Oct 26 51% 40% 7% 3%
Oct 25 50% 40% 7% 3%
Oct 24 51% 39% 6% 3%
Oct 23 48% 41% 7% 4%
Oct 22 50% 41% 7% 3%
Oct 21 50% 40% 8% 2%
Oct 20 48% 43% 7% 2%
Oct 19 49% 43% 6% 2%
Oct 18 48% 44% 5% 2%
Oct 17 50% 43% 5% 2%
Oct 16 50% 44% 4% 2%
Oct 15 49% 45% 4% 1%
Oct 14 51% 41% 6% 2%
Oct 13 50% 41% 7% 2%
Oct 12 50% 42% 6% 2%
Oct 11 50% 42% 6% 2%
Oct 10 50% 42% 6% 2%
Oct 9 51% 41% 6% 1%
Sep-12 51% 40% 6% 2%
Aug-12 46% 37% 15% 2%
Jul-12 48% 37% 9% 1%
Jun-12 50% 37% 7% 2%
May-12 49% 40% 7% 1%
Apr-12 48% 35% 11% 2%
Mar-12 50% 36% 7% 1%
Feb-12 48% 39% 8% 2%

Male

Share of electorate:  2004=46%, 2008=47%

Vote 2004:  Bush=55%, Kerry=44%
Vote 2008:  Obama=49%, McCain=48%

Obama   Romney Other     
Exit Poll 45% 52% 3%
TIPP Final 46% 54% 1%

 

Obama Romney Not Sure Refused
Oct 27 41% 52% 5% 3%
Oct 26 42% 50% 5% 2%
Oct 25 43% 50% 5% 2%
Oct 24 43% 50% 5% 2%
Oct 23 44% 48% 6% 2%
Oct 22 45% 47% 7% 1%
Oct 21 46% 45% 8% 1%
Oct 20 45% 45% 9% 1%
Oct 19 44% 46% 8% 2%
Oct 18 44% 47% 7% 2%
Oct 17 43% 48% 7% 2%
Oct 16 45% 48% 6% 2%
Oct 15 44% 49% 6% 2%
Oct 14 42% 51% 5% 2%
Oct 13 43% 50% 5% 2%
Oct 12 43% 50% 5% 2%
Oct 11 41% 53% 5% 2%
Oct 10 36% 57% 6% 1%
Oct 9 38% 54% 7% 1%
Sep-12 40% 48% 10% 2%
Aug-12 47% 41% 9% 3%
Jul-12 37% 47% 9% 2%
Jun-12 41% 47% 7% 0%
May-12 43% 46% 5% 3%
Apr-12 44% 42% 8% 1%
Mar-12 42% 47% 3% 1%
Feb-12 45% 43% 3% 4%

65+

Respondents ages 65+

Share of electorate:  2004=16%, 2008=16%

Vote 2004:  Bush=52%, Kerry=47%
Vote 2008:  Obama=45%, McCain=53%

Obama   Romney Other     
Exit Poll 44% 56% -
TIPP Final 46% 53% 1%

 

Obama Romney Not Sure Refused
Oct 27 44% 43% 6% 7%
Oct 26 45% 45% 5% 6%
Oct 25 42% 48% 5% 5%
Oct 24 40% 50% 6% 5%
Oct 23 41% 48% 6% 5%
Oct 22 42% 50% 5% 4%
Oct 21 44% 49% 5% 2%
Oct 20 44% 48% 5% 3%
Oct 19 45% 45% 5% 1%
Oct 18 46% 45% 5% 4%
Oct 17 42% 48% 5% 5%
Oct 16 42% 46% 7% 5%
Oct 15 45% 44% 7% 5%
Oct 14 41% 48% 7% 4%
Oct 13 40% 48% 7% 5%
Oct 12 39% 50% 6% 5%
Oct 11 39% 51% 5% 5%
Oct 10 37% 54% 5% 3%
Oct 9 35% 57% 5% 4%
Sep-12 41% 47% 9% 3%
Aug-12 40% 49% 9% 2%
Jul-12 43% 42% 7% 3%
Jun-12 38% 51% 8% 1%
May-12 49% 42% 5% 2%
Apr-12 46% 40% 9% 2%
Mar-12 43% 46% 6% 1%
Feb-12 43% 46% 6% 2%

45-64

Respondents ages 45-64

Share of electorate:  2004=37%, 2008=37%

Vote 2004:  Bush=51%, Kerry=48%
Vote 2008:  Obama=50%, McCain=49%

Obama   Romney Other     
Exit Poll 47% 51% 2%
TIPP Final 51% 48% 1%

 

Obama Romney Not Sure Refused
Oct 27 43% 51% 4% 2%
Oct 26 42% 52% 4% 2%
Oct 25 44% 49% 5% 2%
Oct 24 44% 48% 5% 2%
Oct 23 42% 49% 7% 2%
Oct 22 44% 49% 6% 1%
Oct 21 46% 46% 7% 1%
Oct 20 42% 51% 6% 1%
Oct 19 41% 53% 5% 1%
Oct 18 41% 53% 5% 1%
Oct 17 41% 53% 5% 1%
Oct 16 41% 54% 4% 2%
Oct 15 38% 56% 4% 1%
Oct 14 39% 55% 5% 1%
Oct 13 39% 53% 6% 2%
Oct 12 39% 52% 7% 2%
Oct 11 38% 53% 6% 2%
Oct 10 40% 51% 7% 1%
Oct 9 42% 48% 9% 1%
Sep-12 45% 47% 6% 2%
Aug-12 45% 40% 12% 4%
Jul-12 41% 46% 8% 2%
Jun-12 44% 43% 6% 1%
May-12 46% 44% 6% 2%
Apr-12 47% 37% 11% 1%
Mar-12 47% 40% 6% 1%
Feb-12 46% 42% 8% 2%

18-44

Respondents ages 18-44

Share of electorate:  2004=46%, 2008=47%

Vote 2004:  Bush=50%, Kerry=49%
Vote 2008:  Obama=57%, McCain=41%

 

Obama   Romney Other     
Exit Poll 55% 42% 3%
TIPP Final 52% 47% 1%

 

Obama Romney Not Sure Refused
Oct 27 52% 39% 6% 2%
Oct 26 53% 38% 7% 1%
Oct 25 52% 39% 7% 2%
Oct 24 54% 37% 6% 2%
Oct 23 54% 38% 6% 2%
Oct 22 54% 35% 9% 2%
Oct 21 52% 35% 11% 2%
Oct 20 52% 36% 11% 2%
Oct 19 53% 37% 9% 1%
Oct 18 52% 39% 8% 1%
Oct 17 55% 37% 8% 1%
Oct 16 57% 38% 5% 1%
Oct 15 56% 39% 5% 0%
Oct 14 57% 37% 6% 0%
Oct 13 56% 38% 5% 1%
Oct 12 56% 38% 5% 1%
Oct 11 56% 39% 5% 1%
Oct 10 50% 44% 6% 1%
Oct 9 53% 40% 6% 1%
Sep-12 49% 39% 9% 3%
Aug-12 50% 34% 14% 2%
Jul-12 45% 38% 10% 1%
Jun-12 52% 34% 8% 1%
May-12 46% 43% 6% 1%
Apr-12 47% 39% 9% 0%
Mar-12 48% 39% 4% 1%
Feb-12 50% 38% 4% 4%

West

Share of electorate:  2004=20%, 2008=23%

Vote 2004:  Bush=49%, Kerry=50%
Vote 2008:  Obama=57%, McCain=40%

 

Obama   Romney Other     
TIPP Final  51% 48% 1%

 

Obama Romney Not Sure Refused
Oct 27 52% 39% 7% 2%
Oct 26 49% 41% 8% 2%
Oct 25 48% 41% 9% 2%
Oct 24 48% 43% 7% 2%
Oct 23 47% 45% 6% 2%
Oct 22 48% 43% 7% 2%
Oct 21 49% 40% 9% 1%
Oct 20 50% 42% 6% 1%
Oct 19 49% 45% 5% 1%
Oct 18 49% 44% 6% 1%
Oct 17 49% 44% 6% 1%
Oct 16 47% 44% 6% 2%
Oct 15 46% 45% 6% 2%
Oct 14 48% 39% 11% 2%
Oct 13 48% 38% 11% 3%
Oct 12 48% 39% 10% 3%
Oct 11 46% 42% 10% 3%
Oct 10 43% 46% 9% 2%
Oct 9 44% 46% 9% 2%
Sep-12 45% 43% 8% 4%
Aug-12 51% 41% 6% 2%
Jul-12 43% 46% 8% 2%
Jun-12 43% 44% 8% 0%
May-12 51% 43% 3% 2%
Apr-12 48% 41% 6% 1%
Mar-12 52% 41% 4% 1%
Feb-12 50% 36% 8% 3%

Northeast

Share of electorate:  2004=22%, 2008=21%

Vote 2004:  Bush=43%, Kerry=56%
Vote 2008:  Obama=59%, McCain=40%

 

Obama  Romney Other   
TIPP Final 56% 43% 1%

 

Obama Romney Not Sure Refused
Oct 27 51% 38% 7% 4%
Oct 26 53% 40% 4% 3%
Oct 25 49% 43% 5% 3%
Oct 24 50% 39% 8% 3%
Oct 23 48% 41% 9% 3%
Oct 22 48% 40% 10% 3%
Oct 21 48% 42% 8% 2%
Oct 20 50% 37% 11% 2%
Oct 19 52% 37% 9% 2%
Oct 18 54% 37% 7% 2%
Oct 17 54% 37% 8% 2%
Oct 16 58% 35% 6% 2%
Oct 15 55% 38% 6% 1%
Oct 14 54% 38% 7% 1%
Oct 13 54% 39% 7% 1%
Oct 12 55% 36% 8% 1%
Oct 11 55% 39% 6% 1%
Oct 10 49% 42% 9% 1%
Oct 9 51% 40% 8% 1%
Sep-12 53% 35% 9% 2%
Aug-12 55% 33% 12% 0%
Jul-12 47% 36% 12% 2%
Jun-12 56% 31% 5% 4%
May-12 55% 33% 6% 2%
Apr-12 56% 32% 8% 1%
Mar-12 51% 31% 7% 0%
Feb-12 48% 41% 6% 4%

Midwest

 Share of electorate:  2004=26%, 2008=24%

Vote 2004:  Bush=51%, Kerry=48%
Vote 2008:  Obama=54%, McCain=44%

 

Obama   Romney Other     
TIPP Final  50% 49% 1%

 

Obama Romney Not Sure Refused
Oct 27 51% 43% 5% 2%
Oct 26 51% 42% 5% 2%
Oct 25 51% 43% 4% 2%
Oct 24 51% 43% 5% 2%
Oct 23 51% 43% 4% 2%
Oct 22 50% 41% 7% 2%
Oct 21 49% 43% 7% 2%
Oct 20 46% 45% 7% 1%
Oct 19 46% 45% 7% 2%
Oct 18 45% 47% 6% 2%
Oct 17 45% 46% 7% 2%
Oct 16 45% 47% 5% 3%
Oct 15 45% 47% 5% 3%
Oct 14 44% 49% 4% 3%
Oct 13 45% 46% 5% 5%
Oct 12 45% 45% 5% 5%
Oct 11 46% 46% 4% 4%
Oct 10 47% 47% 4% 2%
Oct 9 47% 49% 3% 1%
Sep-12 49% 42% 8% 1%
Aug-12 46% 38% 13% 4%
Jul-12 42% 37% 10% 1%
Jun-12 40% 43% 10% 1%
May-12 41% 45% 9% 3%
Apr-12 52% 30% 14% 1%
Mar-12 45% 42% 7% 0%
Feb-12 54% 36% 5% 1%

South

 Share of electorate:  2004=32%, 2008=32%

Vote 2004:  Bush=58%, Kerry=42%
Vote 2008:  Obama=45%, McCain=54%

 

Obama   Romney Other     
TIPP Final  47% 52% 1%

 

Obama Romney Not Sure Refused
Oct 27 39% 52% 5% 4%
Oct 26 41% 51% 6% 3%
Oct 25 42% 49% 5% 4%
Oct 24 43% 49% 5% 3%
Oct 23 43% 47% 6% 3%
Oct 22 45% 47% 6% 2%
Oct 21 45% 47% 6% 2%
Oct 20 43% 48% 7% 2%
Oct 19 43% 48% 6% 2%
Oct 18 42% 50% 6% 2%
Oct 17 43% 50% 5% 2%
Oct 16 44% 51% 4% 1%
Oct 15 45% 51% 3% 1%
Oct 14 45% 52% 3% 1%
Oct 13 43% 54% 3% 1%
Oct 12 42% 54% 3% 0%
Oct 11 41% 55% 4% 1%
Oct 10 40% 54% 5% 1%
Oct 9 41% 50% 7% 2%
Sep-12 39% 51% 8% 2%
Aug-12 40% 43% 15% 3%
Jul-12 40% 46% 8% 1%
Jun-12 45% 45% 5% 1%
May-12 43% 47% 6% 1%
Apr-12 37% 45% 10% 1%
Mar-12 42% 45% 5% 1%
Feb-12 39% 46% 6% 3%

Daily Tracking Poll

Today's Daily Tracking Poll

Overall

Region

Northeast

Midwest

South

West

Age

18-44

45-64

65+

Gender

Male

Female

Race

White

Black/Hispanic

Income

Under 30K

30K-50K

50K-75K

75K+

Party

Democrats

Republicans

Ind./Other

Investor Class

Yes

No

Area Type

Urban

Suburban

Rural

White

White Men

White Women

Black/Hispanic

Black

Hispanic

Women

Single Women

Married Women

Education

High School

Some College

College Degree or More

Ideology

Conservative

Moderate

Liberal

Household Description

Upper/Upper Middle

Middle

Working

Lower

Religion

Protestant

Catholic

Other Christian

Jewish

Other

None

Union Household

Yes

No

2008 Vote

Obama

McCain