2008 record      


President Trump's approval rating dropped 5 percentage points in August to a new low of 32%, according to the latest IBD/TIPP Poll, with 59% saying they disapprove of the job he's doing as president.

Trump lost significant support across the board, but saw big declines among areas of core support, including Republicans, Midwesterners, middle-income families, white men and the high-school educated. The results come in the wake of the Senate's failure to repeal ObamaCare, upheavals in the White House staff, the ongoing investigation into Russian meddling in the election, and the daily beatings administered by the mainstream press.

Among Republicans, for example, Trump's approval rating fell from 83% in July to 71% in August. Trump's already low approval ratings remained relatively unchanged among Democrats (4%) and independents (30%).

In terms of income, Trump lost the most support from those with household incomes between $30,000 and $50,000. Among this group, Trump's approval rating dropped from 40% in July to 27% in August.

Trump's support among white men — the one demographic group who approved of Trump — dropped from 51% in July to 44% in August. The nearby chart shows other groups with big drops in August.

In a series of tweets Monday morning, Trump complained about the results of other polls, saying that his "base is far bigger & stronger than ever before (despite some phony Fake News polling). Look at rallies in Penn, Iowa, Ohio......"

The nationwide IBD/TIPP Poll was conducted from July 28 to Aug. 5 and includes 904 respondents. IBD/TIPP was credited with having the most accurate poll in the November election, and was one of only two national polls that correctly predicted a Trump victory.

The August IBD/TIPP Poll found that just 33% give Trump high marks for his handling of immigration, and just 34% do so for his handling of the economy. Both are down from last month.

These numbers come at a time when the economy has shown signs of improvement, with companies reporting strong earnings, job growth topping expectations, and the stock market continuing its strong upward march. The IBD/TIPP Poll found that 51% now say the economy is improving, compared with 47% who said that in July.

As IBD noted previously, Trump's approval ratings are unusually low given the current economic environment.

"Despite Americans' optimism regarding the economy, multiple factors are collectively offsetting the boost that the economy should be giving Trump, and driving down his approval rating," said Raghavan Mayur, president of TechnoMetrica Market Intelligence, which conducts the IBD/TIPP Poll.

"Congress' failure to repeal ObamaCare has upset even some Republicans. The appearance of disarray within the White House has created a sense of uncertainty and puzzlement among Americans. Trump's skirmish with Attorney General Sessions did not go well with many conservatives, and former communications director Anthony Scaramucci's vulgar exchange with a reporter upset many. On top of this, the daily dose of insinuations from the media regarding collusion with Russia also help to explain the low approval rating," he said.


Russia Collusion

The public has also grown more concerned about the Russia scandal over the past months.

Of those following the Russia scandal closely, nearly two-thirds (65%) now think that members of his campaign colluded with Russia to help sway the November election. That includes 30% of Republicans and 64% of independents.

This comes after news that Trump's son met with a Russian lawyer and issued misleading statements about the nature of it, and represents a dramatic shift in the public's views about the Russian scandal.

In June, for example, nearly half thought the investigation into Trump's ties with Russia was a "witch hunt," and 57% thought the media had prematurely declared Trump and his allies guilty of collusion.

Now just 31% say special counsel Robert Mueller's investigation into Trump is illegitimate because there's been no evidence of a crime. Only 37% say that Mueller's probing Trump's past business dealings goes beyond his mandate.

Impeachment Talk Goes Mainstream

Worse for Trump, fully 47% of the public now think that talk of impeaching the president is appropriate today, with 50% saying it's premature.

When IBD/TIPP asked this question in June, only 32% thought it was appropriate to talk about impeaching the president, with 65% saying such talk was premature.

"The meeting between Trump's son and the Russian lawyer was covered by the media continuously," Mayur said. "Some view the special counsel's impaneling of a grand jury to be a serious milestone. Further, it is much more common these days to see hypothetical discussions in the media about how Trump could fire Mueller, and how that would create a constitutional crisis, which could lead to impeachment. When you throw enough mud at the wall, some of it will stick and help to promote the impeachment discussion."

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Methodology: The August IBD/TIPP Poll was conducted from July 28-Aug. 5. It includes responses from 904 people nationwide, who were asked questions by live interviewers on cell or landline phones. The poll's margin of error is +/-3.3 percentage points.

For the questions about Russia and impeachment, the sample was limited to the 611 people who said they were following the news about this story closely, resulting in a margin of error of +/- 4 percentage points.

The IBD/TIPP Poll has been credited as being the most accurate poll in the past four presidential elections, and was one of only two that correctly predicted the outcome of the November elections.

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