Obama Maintains 3-Point Advantage Post Gay Marriage Announcement

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In the latest Investor's Business Daily/Christian Science Monitor/TIPP Poll conducted after President Obama announced his support for gay marriage, the President continues to maintain a 3-point lead over Governor Romney.  In the poll, 44% said gay marriages should be recognized and 45% said gay marriages should not be recognized. In our poll conducted early May, Romney had a 9-point advantage with Independent voters which has narrowed to 4-points in the current poll.

Q:  If the 2012 election for United States President were held today and the following were candidates for whom would you vote?

43%  Democrat Barack Obama
40%  Republican Mitt Romney
3%    Other
10%    Not sure
3%    Refused

 

Category Obama Romney Other Not sure Refused Total
Overall 43% 40% 3% 10% 3% 100%
Region
Northeast 46% 37% 2% 9% 5% 100%
Midwest 40% 44% 5% 8% 2% 100%
South 42% 41% 3% 11% 3% 100%
West 47% 37% 2% 12% 2% 100%
Age
18-44 50% 37% 3% 10% 1% 100%
45-64 41% 43% 4% 9% 3% 100%
65+ 36% 42% 5% 13% 4% 100%
Gender
Male 41% 43% 4% 9% 3% 100%
Female 45% 37% 3% 12% 3% 100%
Race
White 35% 49% 3% 11% 2% 100%
Black/Hispanic 76% 9% 5% 8% 2% 100%
Income
Under 30K 51% 25% 5% 15% 4% 100%
30K-50K 46% 42% 1% 9% 3% 100%
50-75K 53% 39% 2% 7% 0% 100%
75K+ 41% 48% 1% 7% 2% 100%
Party
Democrats 83% 6% 2% 6% 2% 100%
Republicans 4% 88% 1% 6% 1% 100%
Ind./Other 35% 39% 8% 17% 2% 100%
Investor Class
Yes 37% 51% 2% 8% 2% 100%
No 54% 28% 4% 11% 3% 100%
Area Type
Urban 55% 31% 2% 10% 2% 100%
Suburban 42% 41% 4% 10% 2% 100%
Rural 35% 47% 4% 11% 3% 100%
White
White men 33% 51% 3% 11% 3% 100%
White women 37% 47% 3% 11% 2% 100%
Black/Hispanic
Black 79% 5% 6% 7% 4% 100%
Hispanic 70% 16% 5% 9% 0% 100%
Women
Single women 52% 24% 3% 17% 3% 100%
Married women 40% 48% 3% 7% 2% 100%
Education
High School 46% 36% 3% 13% 2% 100%
Some College 36% 41% 7% 14% 3% 100%
College Degree or more 46% 41% 2% 8% 3% 100%
Ideology
Conservative 18% 67% 4% 10% 2% 100%
Moderate 54% 28% 2% 14% 3% 100%
Liberal 83% 6% 4% 4% 2% 100%

The Poll was conducted from May 9 to May 16 using traditional telephone methodology,  Sample Size: 778 Registered Voters nationwide, Margin of error - plus/minus 3.6 percentage points.

Party ID of sample:  In politics, do you consider yourself to be a DEMOCRAT, a REPUBLICAN, an INDEPENDENT, or something else?  Democrat(37%), Republican (31%), Independent/Other(27%),  Not sure/Refused(5%)

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