Obama Widens Lead Over Romney
- Published on Saturday, 11 August 2012 09:12
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President Obama's lead over Governor Romney widens from 1-point in July to 7-points in August, according to the latest Investor's Business Daily/Christian Science Monitor/TIPP Poll. Romney loses ground among independents, men, and suburban voters.
Q: If the 2012 election for United States President were held today and the following were candidates for whom would you vote?
46% Democrat Barack Obama
39% Republican Mitt Romney
12% Not sure
3% Refused
| Category | Obama | Romney | Not sure | Refused | Total |
| Overall | 46% | 39% | 12% | 3% | 100% |
| Region | |||||
| Northeast | 55% | 33% | 12% | 0% | 100% |
| Midwest | 46% | 38% | 13% | 4% | 100% |
| South | 40% | 43% | 15% | 3% | 100% |
| West | 51% | 41% | 6% | 2% | 100% |
| Age | |||||
| 18-44 | 50% | 34% | 14% | 2% | 100% |
| 45-64 | 45% | 40% | 12% | 4% | 100% |
| 65+ | 40% | 49% | 9% | 2% | 100% |
| Gender | |||||
| Male | 47% | 41% | 9% | 3% | 100% |
| Female | 46% | 37% | 15% | 2% | 100% |
| Race | |||||
| White | 39% | 48% | 12% | 2% | 100% |
| Black/Hispanic | 82% | 7% | 9% | 1% | 100% |
| Income | |||||
| Under 30K | 54% | 30% | 15% | 1% | 100% |
| 30K-50K | 43% | 44% | 12% | 1% | 100% |
| 50-75K | 42% | 46% | 9% | 2% | 100% |
| 75K+ | 44% | 41% | 12% | 3% | 100% |
| Party | |||||
| Democrats | 85% | 8% | 6% | 2% | 100% |
| Republicans | 9% | 80% | 10% | 1% | 100% |
| Ind./Other | 41% | 36% | 20% | 3% | 100% |
| Investor Class | |||||
| Yes | 44% | 42% | 11% | 3% | 100% |
| No | 49% | 37% | 13% | 2% | 100% |
| Area Type | |||||
| Urban | 55% | 30% | 12% | 4% | 100% |
| Suburban | 48% | 40% | 10% | 2% | 100% |
| Rural | 36% | 46% | 16% | 2% | 100% |
| White | |||||
| White men | 39% | 50% | 9% | 2% | 100% |
| White women | 38% | 45% | 14% | 2% | 100% |
| Black/Hispanic | |||||
| Black | 88% | 1% | 9% | 2% | 100% |
| Hispanic | 70% | 19% | 11% | 0% | 100% |
| Women | |||||
| Single women | 56% | 29% | 13% | 2% | 100% |
| Married women | 38% | 45% | 16% | 2% | 100% |
| Education | |||||
| High School | 42% | 42% | 14% | 2% | 100% |
| Some College | 48% | 41% | 9% | 2% | 100% |
| College Degree or more | 47% | 37% | 12% | 3% | 100% |
| Ideology | |||||
| Conservative | 17% | 67% | 13% | 2% | 100% |
| Moderate | 56% | 27% | 15% | 2% | 100% |
| Liberal | 90% | 7% | 3% | 0% | 100% |
The TIPP Poll was conducted from August 3 to August 10 using traditional telephone methodology using Random Digit Dial (RDD) landline and cell phone samples; sample Size: 828 Registered Voters nationwide, Margin of error - plus/minus 3.5 percentage points.
Party ID of sample: In politics, do you consider yourself to be a DEMOCRAT, a REPUBLICAN, an INDEPENDENT, or something else? Democrat(36%), Republican (31%), Independent/Other(30%), Not sure/Refused(3%)
TIPP Poll Past Performance
The TIPP Poll was the most accurate presidential poll having come in #1 in both the 2004 and 2008 Presidential elections. An article summarizing the results is available here. The official election results compiled by the Federal Election Commission for 2008 is available here and for 2004 is available here. Readers may note that some analysis of results and pollster performance ranking on the Internet are obsolete because they analyze accuracy based on election night results, which are significantly different from the final results when all votes were counted.
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