TIPP Indexes
Chart of the Day
Last Updated on Wednesday, 10 March 2010 12:21 Written by Raghavan Mayur Wednesday, 20 January 2010 00:00
Chart of the day: Presidential Leadership Index Then and Now
Overall Presidential Leadership by Party (March 2010)
Overall Presidential Leadership by Party (February 2009)
TIPP Indexes (March 2010)
Last Updated on Wednesday, 10 March 2010 12:23 Written by Raghavan Mayur Tuesday, 12 January 2010 15:04
Methodology
Last Updated on Friday, 05 February 2010 12:35 Written by Brian Onorato Tuesday, 05 January 2010 12:11
The IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism Index is the earliest take on consumer confidence each month and predicts with 80% reliability monthly changes in sentiment in well-known polls by The Conference Board and the University of Michigan. The IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism Index is based on a survey of 900-plus adults chosen at random nationwide. The poll is generally conducted in the first week of the month.
An analysis of Final Certified Results of Election 04 and Election 08 show that TIPP was the most accurate pollster of both campaign seasons.
The TIPP Indices, the Economic Optimism Index, the Presidential Leadership Index, and the National Outlook Index, track Americans' opinions and outlooks in three different areas: the economy, the President and the nation.
Began in February 2001, the Indices were developed by TIPP for its media partners Investor's Business Daily and The Christian Science Monitor and are updated on a monthly basis.
Index Calculation 1. If the question assumes either one positive or one negative response (better or worse, approve or disapprove), the following formula is used to calculate this question index component: K= 50 +0.5*(p(+) - p(-)) where p(+) is the percent that answered positively, p(-) is the percent that answered negatively. 2. If the question allows a choice from two positive or two negative responses (very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, not very satisfied or not at all satisfied), the following formula is used to calculate this question index component: K= 50 + 0.5*(p1(+) - p1(-)) + 0.25*(p2(+) - p2(-)) where p1(+) is the percent which answered strongly positive, p1(-) is the percent which answered strongly negative, p2(+) is the percent answered moderate positively, and p2(-) is the percent answered moderately negative. The question components are averaged to calculate the index. When an index level is more than 50, the number giving a positive response is more than the number giving a negative response. When all answers are strongly positive, the index is 100. When all answers are strongly negative, the index is 0. The TIPP Economic Optimism Index 1. In the next 6 months, do you think that economic conditions in the country will be better, worse, or about the same as compared to now? 2. In the next 6 months, do you think that your personal financial situation will be better, worse, or about the same as compared to now? 3. How satisfied are you with the current federal economic policies meant to keep the economy going in the right direction: Very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, not very satisfied or not at all satisfied? The TIPP Presidential Leadership Index 1. Overall, is your opinion of Barack Obama generally favorable, generally unfavorable, or are you not familiar enough to say one way or another? 2. In general, do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president, or are you not familiar enough to say one way or the other? 3. How would you describe the leadership that President Obama is providing for the country? Would you say it is very strong, strong, moderate, weak or very weak? The TIPP National Outlook Index 1. In general, how satisfied are you with the direction things are going in the country at this time? Would you say you are very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, not very satisfied or not at all satisfied? 2. Generally speaking, how satisfied are you with the direction things are going in the country at this time in terms of morals and ethics? Would you say you are very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, not very satisfied or not at all satisfied? 3. Generally speaking, over the next 6 months, do you think that the position of the United States as a world leader will be better, worse, or about the same as it is now? 4. In the next 6 months, do you think that your quality of life will be better, worse, or about the same as compared to now? To derive the final score for the National Outlook Index, the responses to these questions, the scores for the TIPP Economic Optimism Index, and the TIPP Presidential Leadership Index are combined.Index Calculation
Each index represents an average based on telephone interviews conducted with approximately 900 adults nationwide each month. The index can range from 0 to 100, and is derived by comparing the positive and negative responses while disregarding non-responses (such as "not sure" or "no answer").Economic Optimism Index
The index is based upon responses to 3 questions:Presidential Leadership Index
The index is based upon responses to 3 questions:National Outlook Index
The index is derived on the basis of 6 components: the scores for the TIPP Economic Optimism Index and the TIPP Presidential Leadership Index, in addition to responses to the following 4 questions:
The TIPP Indices, the Economic Optimism Index, the Presidential Leadership Index, and the National Outlook Index, track Americans' opinions and outlooks in three different areas: the economy, the President and the nation.
IBD/TIPP Poll: 2010
Last Updated on Friday, 05 February 2010 12:57 Written by Administrator Tuesday, 22 December 2009 16:19
January
Start: 1-4-10 End: 1-10-10 Release: 1-12-10
February
Start: 2-1-10 End: 2-7-10 Release: 2-9-10
March
Start: 3-1-10 End: 3-7-10 Release: 3-9-10
April
Start: 4-5-10 End: 4-11-10 Release: 4-13-10
May
Start: 5-3-10 End: 5-9-10 Release: 5-11-10
June
Start: 6-1-10 End: 6-6-10 Release: 6-8-10
July
Start: 7-5-10 End: 7-11-10 Release: 7-13-10
August
Start: 8-2-10 End: 8-8-10 Release: 8-10-10
September
Start: 9-6-10 End: 9-12-10 Release: 9-14-10
October
Start: 10-4-10 End: 10-10-10 Release: 10-12-10
November
Start: 11-1-10 End: 11-7-10 Release: 11-9-10