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IBD/TIPP Presidential Election Tracking Poll 2020

From now through election day on Nov. 3, the IBD/TIPP Presidential Tracking Poll will post daily results of the race for the White House between President Trump and former Vice President Joe Biden.

 

Update: Joe Biden holds a solid 8.5-point lead over President Donald Trump, barely three weeks ahead of Election Day.

Each day, the IBD/TIPP Presidential Tracking Poll data will reflect a survey of 800-1,000 likely voters conducted over the prior five days.

As in prior years, TIPP — the polling arm of nationally recognized research firm TechnoMetrica —will conduct live telephone interviews. However, TIPP will supplement phone interviews with online surveys this time to better capture younger voters. (Scroll down for more on the IBD/TIPP Tracking Poll methodology.)

                 
  Trump Vs. Biden: IBD/TIPP Tracking Poll        
                 
    Trump Biden Jorgensen Hawkins Other Not Sure  
                 
  OVERALL 43.40% 51.90% 2.40% 0.80% 0.40% 0.40%  
                 
  Region              
                 
  Northeast 35% 61% 2% 2% 1% 0%  
                 
  Midwest 46% 50% 1% 1% 1% 1%  
                 
  South 50% 46% 3% - - -  
                 
  West 36% 57% 2% 1% 1% 1%  
                 
  Age              
                 
  18-44 32% 61% 4% 1% 1% 0%  
                 
  45-64 51% 46% 1% 1% - 1%  
                 
  65+ 48% 48% 2% 0% - 0%  
                 
  Gender              
                 
  Male 52% 44% 2% 1% 0% 0%  
                 
  Female 36% 59% 3% 0% 0% 0%  
                 
  Race              
                 
  White 50% 45% 2% 0% 0% 1%  
                 
  Black/Hispanic 23% 71% 3% - 2% -  
                 
  Income              
                 
  Under $30K 44% 50% 4% 1% 0% -  
                 
  $30K-$50K 33% 63% 1% - - 1%  
                 
  $50-$75K 40% 55% 1% 3% - 1%  
                 
  $75K+ 44% 52% 3% 0% 1% 0%  
                 
  Education            
                 
  High School 60% 38% 3% - - -  
                 
  Some College 37% 61% 1% 0% - 0%  
                 
  College Degree or more 35% 57% 3% 2% 1% 1%  
                 
  Party              
                 
  Democrats 3% 95% 1% 0% - -  
                 
  Republicans 90% 9% 0% 0% - 1%  
                 
  Ind./Other 39% 48% 6% 2% 2% 1%  
                 
  Ideology              
                 
  Conservative 81% 17% 1% 0% 0% 0%  
                 
  Moderate 25% 67% 6% 0% 0% 1%  
                 
  Liberal 9% 87% 1% 2% 1% -  
                 
  Investor              
                 
  Yes 48% 49% 1% 0% 1% 1%  
                 
  No 37% 57% 3% 2% 0% 0%  
                 
  Area Type            
                 
  Urban 36% 59% 3% - 1% 0%  
                 
  Suburban 40% 57% 1% 1% 0% 0%  
                 
  Rural 57% 37% 3% 1% 0% 1%  
                 
  Parental Status            
                 
  Parents 44% 49% 3% 1% 1% 0%  
                 
  Non-Parents 43% 53% 2% 1% 0% 0%  
                 
  White              
                 
  White men 57% 39% 2% 0% 0% 1%  
                 
  White women 45% 51% 3% 1% - 1%  
                 
  Black/Hispanic            
                 
  Black 8% 89% - - 2% -  
                 
  Hispanic 39% 54% 6% - 1% -  
                 
  Women              
                 
  Single women 28% 66% 3% 1% 1% 1%  
                 
  Married women 46% 50% 3% - - 0%  
                 
  Household Description          
                 
  Upper/Upper Middle 49% 50% - 0% 1% 0%  
                 
  Middle 47% 49% 2% 0% 1% 0%  
                 
  Lower Middle 25% 67% 5% 1% 0% 1%  
                 
  Lower 46% 49% 1% 3% - -  
                 
  Religion              
                 
  Protestant 48% 49% 2% 0% - 0%  
                 
  Catholic 46% 48% 2% 1% 0% 0%  
                 
  Other Christian 54% 39% 5% - 1% 1%  
                 
  Other 30% 60% 1% 6% 2% -  
                 
  None 22% 76% 1% 1% - -  
                 
  Union Household            
                 
  Yes 34% 62% - 1% - -  
                 
  No 45% 50% 3% 1% 1% 0%  

 

The IBD/TIPP 2020 election poll will show results for Trump vs. Biden, as well as a four-way race including third parties.

"The IBD/TIPP poll goes where the data directs it, which is why it has been so successful over time," said Raghavan Mayur, president of TechnoMetrica. "Right now, data suggests a significant number of votes are still in play, and factors like COVID-19, economic stimulus and mail- in voting could have a real impact. This is a race to watch."



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