2008 record      


The first full month of impeachment headlines has taken a toll on President Donald Trump's standing, the November IBD/TIPP Poll shows. Now 61% of Americans following the news back the Trump impeachment inquiry, while 39% oppose it. Meanwhile, Trump's job approval slumped to 39%, with 56% disapproval. Americans grew more negative on his handling of China trade, despite a partial trade deal.

When the IBD/TIPP Poll gauged support for the House impeachment probe a month ago, Americans backed the inquiry by a narrower 55%-44% majority. To be sure, support for an impeachment inquiry is not the same as supporting Trump's impeachment or removal from office.

The October IBD/TIPP Poll began just two days after House Speaker Nancy Pelosi announced the probe on Sept. 24. The White House released a loose transcript the next day of Trump's July 25 call with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky on Sept. 25, confirming that Trump did ask for an investigation into former Vice President Joe Biden and son Hunter.

Since then, a handful of national security and State Department officials have provided additional evidence that Trump withheld military aid pending Ukraine's announcement of an investigation into Biden, a leading contender for the 2020 Democratic nomination.

On Thursday, the House voted 232-196 for a resolution that set out Trump impeachment inquiry rules.

Independents Warm To Trump Impeachment Inquiry

The November IBD/TIPP Poll showed independents approve of the Trump impeachment inquiry, 64%-35%. A month earlier, independents narrowly backed the House inquiry, 53%-45%.

GOP support crept up to 16% vs. 81% opposed, compared to 14%-85% in October.

Is Impeachment Probe Hurting Trump's Job Approval?

Trump's job approval rating backtracked to 39% in the November IBD/TIPP Poll from 43% in October. That matched September's reading for the lowest since February. Disapproval of Trump rose to 56% from 54%.

Among independents, just 34% said they approve of how Trump is handling his job, while 58% disapproved. That's a sharp deterioration from the 43%-52% split in October.

Trump Economy

Trump got positive marks on handling the economy from 44% of Americans in the November IBD/TIPP Poll, down from 48% in October.

That comes despite the S&P 500 hitting a record high this past week. Polling wrapped up before Friday's jobs report showed surprising strength, including big upward revisions to prior months' data.

Trump Deficit On China Trade

Meanwhile, just 37% approved of his handling of the China trade issue vs. 39% in October. That's despite Trump's announcement of a "phase-one" China trade deal on Oct. 11. Details are still being finalized. Trump touted China's commitment to buy up to $50 billion in U.S. agricultural goods per year, but reports suggest Beijing might only resume buying the same amount they did before the China trade war.

The IBD/TIPP Poll reflects responses from 903 adults contacted via mobile phones and landlines from Oct. 24-31 and carries a 3.3-point margin of error. Impeachment-related questions reflect the views of a subset of 768 people following the recent news about the House impeachment inquiry.

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